Muslim Immigrants won’t save the population: 2nd-gen has 1 kid, Canada Europe face real decline

For decades, some policymakers hoped that muslim immigrants from high-fertility countries—many Muslim-majority—would reverse population decline in Europe and Canada. The thinking: “They’ll have 5+ kids per family.”

Reality check:

  • Second-generation immigrants rarely keep large family sizes. Studies show they often have 1–2 children, aligning with the host country’s fertility trends.

  • In Canada, even immigrant families eventually mirror the national low birth rate, so relying on immigration alone cannot sustain population growth.

  • Population decline is mostly caused by low native fertility, delayed family formation, and economic pressures—issues that immigration alone cannot fix.

Bottom line:
Immigration can help temporarily, but long-term population stability depends on making it viable for everyone—immigrants and natives alike—to have children.

💡 Lesson: Don’t expect a “population boost” from immigration alone; support families and improve economic conditions for lasting change

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